Current Championship Odds

Below are the market-derived odds for various championships in sports. These odds are updated manually as of the date listed, so may not be current. This is the most unbiased look at what the market views as the true odds for a team to win a title.

NCAA Basketball Champions (April 2026) – As of 3/30/2026 – Final Four

• Michigan – 37.5%
• Arizona – 32.9%
• Illinois – 17.1%
• Connecticut – 12.5%

With the Final Four set, the winner of Michigan/Arizona will be the favorite for the title against whoever wins the first game. We’ve come along way since last April, when the odds were (keeping with the order of teams above) 2.5%, 1.8%, 0.8%, 3.4%.

2026 Masters Champion – As of 3/24/2026 – Top 10

• Scottie Scheffler – 9.4%
• Jon Rahm – 5.6%
• Bryson DeChambeau – 5.6%
• Rory McIlroy – 5.1%
• Xander Schauffele – 3.8%
• Ludvig Aberg – 3.6%
• Matt Fitzpatrick – 2.9%
• Cameron Young – 2.9%
• Tommy Fleetwood – 2.7%
• Collin Morikawa – 2.2%
• Justin Rose – 2.2%
• Patrick Reed – 2.0%

Scheffler’s odds have dropped from once being 16.0% to now being 9.4% with just one more week before Masters week. He was a late WD at the Houston Open (won by Gary Woodland), so his health and overall game is perhaps a question. The split to win by nationality (cup team) is USA 51.4%, EUR 33.9%, INT 14.7%. USA golfers have won 10 of the last 12 majors with EUR winning the other 2. The last INT win was with Cam Smith at the 2022 British Open. Hideki Matsuyama (1.8%) is the best chance for them to win.

We’re looking for a wide open Masters 2026. The winner is just as likely to come from anywhere outside the top 13 of contenders than it is from those top names. Back in January it was 10 players that made up the top half of the win equity.

Looking Back at Recent Champs

CFP 2025 College Football Season (January 2026)

Indiana won the CFP at the end of the 2025 season. Here is a history of their odds.

• Before Quarterfinals: 21.8%
• Before Semifinals: 41.4%
• Before Finals: 73.7%

NCAA Basketball Champions (April 2025)

Florida won the 2025 National Championship. Here is a history of their odds.

• 2/17 – 7.5%
• 3/3 – 7.0%
• 3/17 (Before R64) – 16.2%
• 3/22 (Before R32) – 17.2%
• 3/24 (Before S16) – 17.5%
• 3/29 (Before E8) – 21.0%
• 3/31 (Before F4) – 24.0%
• 4/7 (Before CG) – 51.0%

Florida had the fourth-best odds for much of February into March. By the start of March Madness, this had grown to second-best (behind Duke).

Starting Win Odds for 2025 Major Champions

• 2025 British Open: Scottie Scheffler – 13.6%
• 2025 U.S. Open: J.J. Spaun – 0.5%
• 2025 PGA Championship: Scottie Scheffler – 11.8%
• 2025 Masters: Rory McIlroy – 9.4%